By Madison's Lumber Reporter
As stated in previous updates, North American
construction framing dimension softwood lumber
prices are reaching ever higher, to the point
that the most veteran industry players can’t
believe it. The Easter long weekend is usually a
good indicator of where the market is at; a
minimum four days off in Canada provides
understanding as to whether buying is stalled —
if customers stocked up for needs in advance of
the holiday break — or if inventories remain
low, thus orders flow in and prices go up. This
year, it was the latter, in a very big way. For
the past few weeks, most benchmark prices were
flat as buyers sought better deals with
alternate items, but the week of April 2 saw
most customers in great need as their supplies
on-hand were totally depleted.
Having almost no inventory of their own, sawmill
price lists went up and order files extended
ever longer. This suggests that price buoyancy
is here to stay at least for a little while.
“Strong demand continued to outstrip supply even as many
sources issued conflicting reports in advance of the Easter holiday.” —
Madison’s Lumber Reporter
Different sources offered conflicting views of the U.S. Western S-P-F
market for the week ending April 2. Some players described a
continuation of the sneaky-strong pace perpetuated by persistently low
overall supply, while others related quiet sales amid a sense of
correcting numbers. At any rate, mid- to late-April order files
prevailed at sawmills, and sales activity was sporadically strong early
in the week. Many buyers chose to cover a little more than immediate
needs so they could rest somewhat easier over the upcoming Easter
holiday weekend.
After a comparatively quiet period in the back-half of March, demand for
Western S-P-F cranked right back up again according to Canadian
sawmills. Whereas steady sales were had all over Canada and specific
regions in the U.S., that week saw a bump in inquiry from the U.S. East
Coast, particularly from Pennsylvania. Producers were reportedly sold
out on virtually everything through the week of April 26. There were no
production issues to speak of as robust log decks and the hot market had
sawmills considering running through weekends.
After remaining flat for several weeks, in the week ending April
2, 2021, the wholesaler price of benchmark softwood lumber commodity
item Western S-P-F KD 2×4 #2&Btr was US$1,060 mfbm (net FOB
sawmill), which is up by +$20, or +2%, from the previous week when
it was $1,040.
That week’s price is up by +$20, or +2%, from one month ago when it
was $1,040.
“Traders of Southern Yellow Pine reiterated the tale of two markets
in the week ending April 2, with prices varying wildly depending on
source and destination.” — Madison’s Lumber Reporter
Compared to the price one-year-ago, when it was $310, that week’s price
is up by +$750, or +242%. Compared to two years’ ago when it was $366,
that week’s price is up by +$694, or +190%.
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 8, 2019 ( February.
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