By Madison's Lumber Reporter
The dual Canada/U.S. long weekend in
mid-February did nothing to slow demand for
lumber, with prices rising accordingly. To the
amazement of all, the price of benchmark lumber
commodity Western Spruce-Pine-Fir KD 2×4 #2&Btr
surpassed the all-time high of US$966 mfbm in
August 2020. For the week of Feb. 12, 2021 that
price was an amazing US$992 mfbm. Questions
abound as to whether this level can be
sustained, will the price go up, or when will
the price go down. No one knows. The latest U.S.
housing starts data shows a solid increase in
single-family building permits, signalling
another very hot construction season come
spring.
As February progressed North American sawmills
worked hard to keep production levels high.
Despite that, order files in the U.S. stretched
into later-March while those in Canada were
solidly into the week of March 8. Thus the
expectation is that lumber prices will not
decrease in the immediate future.
“Acutely limited supply continued to dictate market machinations,
pushing prices higher.” — Madison’s Lumber Reporter
Field inventories of Western S-P-F lumber in the United States were as
low as ever. High prices and tight supply have continually put the
kibosh on speculative buying. Sawmill order files at some producers were
late-February while others were apparently into mid- or late-March. Low
grade was in particularly high demand as many buyers looked for cheaper
options of any kind.
Sales volumes of Western S-P-F commodities strengthened late in the week
and Canadian mills boosted their asking prices across the board on
dimension. Sawmill order files were solidly into the week of March 8.
In the week ending Feb. 12, 2021, the
price of benchmark softwood lumber commodity item Western S-P-F KD
2×4 #2&Btr rose another +$32, or +3%, to US$992 mfbm, from $960 the
previous week. Last week’s price is +$66, or +7%, more than it was
one month ago when it was $926.
“On the part of buyers, the week for Eastern S-P-F lumber
commodities began with hesitation. Customers hoped that sustained
snowfall might dampen activity and lead to a correction. With
palpably limited supply and sawmill order files through the end of
the month however, customers were forced back to the table to shore
up their depleted positions. The search was on for quicker shipping
wood but even reloads were largely cleaned out of available
material.” — Madison’s Lumber
Compared to the price one-year-ago, of US$402 mfbm, last week
benchmark softwood lumber item Western S-P-F KD 2×4 #2&Btr was
selling for US$992 mfbm which is +590, or +147% more.
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