Declining demand and prices for softwood lumber, together with reduced log trade have resulted in lower sawlog prices in Europe over the past two years with the ESPI sawlog prices index reaching its lowest point since 2010, according to the Wood Resource Quarterly.
The European
Sawlog Price Index reached its
lowest level in six years in the
3Q/16 because of lower lumber demand
and reduced prices in both domestic
and export markets, reports the Wood
Resource Quarterly
Seattle, USA. Over
the past two years, sawlog prices
have fallen more in Europe than in
any other region of the world. In
the 3Q/16, the European Sawlog Price
Index (ESPI-€) was down a modest
0.5% from the previous quarter to
€83.40/m3. The Index has trended
downward for the past few years and
in 2016 has been at its lowest level
since 2010. Much of the recent
decline has been the result of
reduced demand for lumber in some
markets and generally lower lumber
prices in both domestic and export
markets.
Although the ESPI-€ Index has been
in a declining mode since early
2014, the current price index is
still 10% higher than the average
for the period 1999-2016 (see
chart).
During the past two
years, sawlog prices (in Euro
terms), have fallen the most in
Finland, Norway, Poland, Austria and
Estonia, all countries that are
major exporters of softwood logs or
lumber.
The slowing demand for lumber in
Europe has also resulted in a
decline in log trade on the
continent. WRI estimates that total
trade of softwood logs will be down
about 12% in 2016 as compared to the
previous year and that shipments
will be at their lowest level since
the global financial crisis in 2008
and 2009. Some of the biggest
declines in trade this year has been
in exports from Norway, France,
Ukraine and Latvia.
Note: The ESPI
price index is a volume-weighted
index comprising of sawlog prices
for log grades commonly used for
manufacturing lumber into
construction and better grades
lumber in the largest log-consuming
countries in Europe. The Index
tracks prices from the 1Q/95 to the
current quarter and is published
each quarter in the WRQ