U.S. furniture demand continued to show resilience in June 2026,
with new orders rising 11% year over year despite a challenging
economic backdrop, according to the latest Furniture Insights
report from Smith Leonard.
New furniture orders declined 5% from May, following a 13%
increase in May compared with April. Despite the monthly
decline, orders were 4% higher year to date through June
compared with the same period in 2025, marking the third
consecutive month of year-over-year growth.
Shipments also edged higher, increasing 2% from May and 3%
compared with June 2025. On a year-to-date basis, however,
shipments remained level with 2025. Backlogs provided another
positive signal, rising 2% month over month and 11% year over
year.
The wider consumer environment remains mixed. The Conference
Board Consumer Confidence Index fell 0.8 points in August to
89.4, with consumers becoming more cautious about business
conditions, the labour market and household income prospects
over the next six months. Nevertheless, furniture remained among
the most desired durable-goods purchases consumers planned to
make within six months.
Housing activity continues to present a more complicated
picture. Existing-home sales fell 1.7% month over month in July
but increased 0.7% year over year to an annualised rate of 4.09
million units. The median price for an existing single-family
home reached $440,300, up 1.9% from July 2025.
New-home sales, meanwhile, declined more sharply. Sales of new
single-family homes fell 10.5% from June to a seasonally
adjusted annual rate of 607,000 in July, while remaining 6.3%
below July 2025 levels.
Mortgage rates also remain an important factor for the furniture
market, with the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate reaching
6.54% in July, compared with 6.49% in June and 6.72% a year
earlier. According to NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, the
housing market could see significantly stronger activity if
mortgage rates return closer to 6%.
The broader U.S. economy also slowed during the second quarter.
Real GDP increased at an annualised rate of 1.5%, down from 2.1%
growth in the first quarter. The slowdown reflected weaker
government spending, investment and exports, although consumer
spending accelerated.
Despite these headwinds, Smith Leonard notes that furniture
demand has remained surprisingly resilient. The combination of
rising year-over-year orders and stronger backlogs could provide
momentum for the sector through the second half of the reporting
year.
The industry continues to face pressure from energy and
transportation costs, as well as ongoing uncertainty surrounding
tariffs. However, recent employment data offers some cause for
optimism as furniture manufacturers and retailers enter the
second half of the year.
The latest figures suggest that while consumers and the housing
market remain sensitive to economic conditions, furniture demand
is showing signs of underlying strength, with sustained order
growth providing a more positive signal for the industry heading
into the autumn market season. Smith Leonard's August 2026
Furniture Insights
Source:
smith-leonard.com