2024 has been a challenging year. According to CSIL¡¯s Flagship
Report ¡®World Furniture Outlook 2025¡®, global furniture
consumption is expected to remain stable in current USD compared
to 2023, with varying trends across different regions and
countries.
Europe has been one of the hardest-hit regions, experiencing
significant declines, particularly in Germany and France.
Although inflation has slowed considerably, the trend has not
yet shifted towards increased consumption, as the economic and
social outlook remains uncertain.
CSIL-WorldFurnitureConsumption2024From the international trade
perspective, 2024 was a complex year because of ongoing maritime
transport issues and geopolitical tensions. Despite these
obstacles, the world trade of furniture increased by 2% to the
value of around USD 174 billion, driven by a good performance of
Asian Exporters, with a gradual recovery of Chinese exports and
the growing trend of exports from Southeast Asian countries.
European Furniture Industry
According to the report, Europe continues to hold a crucial
position in the global furniture industry, acting as a pivotal
hub for production, market size and world trade.
"In Europe, the sector's weak performance in 2024 remains
evident. Most countries face similar challenges impacting their
furniture industries, although the intensity varies depending on
local market conditions. In nearly all European countries,
negative performance trends have persisted in 2024. The German
and French industries have been particularly affected,
struggling with a sharp decline in construction activity and
weak consumer spending. Spain, however, stands out as an
exception, with residential construction continuing to provide a
growth driver. Similarly, Eastern European countries,
historically known for their rapid manufacturing growth, have
also been affected by the challenging market conditions,
particularly by the poor performance of the German economy.
Poland presents another exception, with the furniture sector
experiencing modest but positive growth.
"Despite difficult market conditions in 2023-2024, the sector
has proven its resilience, staying above pre-pandemic levels,
supported by a high level of integration, and market
concentration. Dominated by major retail chains and
manufacturers operating on a European scale, the market benefits
from strong internal cohesion and a well-established trade
network. This structural strength not only underpins its
stability but also drives the substantial concentration of
export and import flows within the region.
THE EUROPEAN MACROECONOMIC CONTEXT
"The European macroeconomic context in 2024 is marked by subdued
growth, political fragmentation and uncertainty. Growth in
Europe seems to have reached its lowest point in 2023, with GDP
growth slightly weaker than projected in April and July 2024.
The IMF growth forecasts for Europe are 1.5% in 2023, 1.7% in
2024, and 1.7% in 2025.
"Although goods prices have stabilised, and some are declining,
services price inflation remains high in many European
countries. This is partly due to rapid wage increases as pay
catches up with the inflation surge of 2021¨C2022. Looking ahead
to 2025, the IMF anticipates a continued decline in inflation
but acknowledges that bumps on the road to price stability are
still possible. The IMF projects that consumer prices in the
European Union will increase by 2.6% in 2024 and 2.3% in 2025."
Source: worldfurnitureonline.com