By Madison's Lumber Reporter
While demand for construction framing dimension
softwood lumber continued to surpass supply last
week, it was noticeable that buyer orders to
sawmills were slowing down. Indeed, customer
interest seemed to shift from the benchmark
Western Spruce-Pine-Fir to the East Side, as
prices of Eastern Spruce-Pine-Fir increased by
more than that of Western.
Demand for plywood, meanwhile, was unabated for
reconstruction following social unrest about
racial inequality.
Western S-P-F producers in the US reported another stellar week during
which they wished they had more material to cover unceasing inquiry from
buyers. Retailers were frustrated with late shipments but were also
aware that little could be done about pandemic-caused shortages of
transportation equipment and labour.
large producer was sold out before 8:00am, leaving the US wholesale
market wanting. Sawmill order files were at least four weeks out on all
dimension lumber items.
For the week ending July 10, 2020, prices of standard construction
framing dimension softwood lumber items continued sharp increases. In
particular, benchmark lumber item Western S-P-F 2×4 #2&Btr KD rose
further, up by +36, or +8 per cent, to US$504 mfbm, from US$468 the
previous week. The price for this lumber commodity was up +$126, or +33
per cent, from one month ago. Compared to the same week in 2019 this
price is up +$112, or +29 per cent.
“Sellers of Eastern S-P-F in the US reported increasing cases of
substitution; as customers desperately snatching any wood they could
find regardless of species or designation.” — Madison’s Lumber Reporter
Purveyors of Eastern S-P-F dimension lumber and studs had another tricky
week, with prices again all over the place. Sawmills were tentative
about getting their wares to market as they didn’t want to leave
potential money on the table. Construction activity remained strong on
both sides of the border and many contractors were unable to find wood
materials’ coverage for current and upcoming building jobs.
Recovering well compared to last year but still far behind mid-2018,
last week’s Western S-P-F 2×4 price improved +$85, or +22 per cent,
relative to the one-year rolling average price of US$383 mfbm and
increased +$77, or +20 per cent, relative to the two-year rolling
average price of US$391 mfbm.
The below table is a comparison of recent highs, in June 2018, and
current July 2020 benchmark dimension softwood lumber 2×4 prices
compared to historical highs of 2004-2005 and compared to recent lows of
Sept. 2015:
As in the West, Eastern S-P-F suppliers noted that buyers had gotten
used to not worrying about asking prices and instead were focussed on
the simple concept of availability. Players couldn’t think of a
commodity that wasn’t rabidly sought after, and any scrap of leftover
inventory held by a sawmill or wholesaler was jumped on with alacrity.
Lumber producer order files pushed into the back half of August as the
acute shortage of wood stirred up desperation among buyers.
Still making big jumps and catching up to recent-record highs of
mid-2018, last week’s Western S-P-F 2×4 price improved +$119, or +31 per
cent, relative to the one-year rolling average price of US$385 mfbm and
increased +$114, or +29 per cent, relative to the two-year rolling
average price of US$390 mfbm.
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