By Madison's Lumber Reporter
Dec. 10 is the deadline for retirement of two of
the three remaining Appellate Judges at the
World Trade Organization, where there are
currently disputes revolving around North
American softwood lumber. This WTO appellate
panel, which usually has seven people, now only
has the legal minimum of three, until Dec. 10.
Following years of pent-up U.S. frustration over
the behaviour of the WTO’s ultimate
dispute-resolution body, the administration of
President Donald Trump began blocking the
appointment of new panellists. As a result, the
group’s appellate body will stop functioning
next month, plunging into uncertainty and
casting a cloud over future ones.
The uncertainty stemming from the panel’s
dissolution would touch every country with
business before the WTO, including Canada.
Experts recently gathered at an event in
Washington, D.C. where they discussed the
consequences of the WTO becoming paralyzed.
Construction framing dimension softwood lumber
prices in Canada and the U.S., meanwhile,
stabilized last week to levels moderate when
compared to one-year and two-years ago price
levels. The latest U.S. housing starts and home
sales data, out last week, showed continued
strong building activity with this important
customer for North American softwood lumber.
The price of benchmark lumber commodity Western
Spruce-Pine-Fir KD 2×4 #2&Btr last week dropped
-$2 to close Friday at US$394 mfbm (net FOB
sawmill; cash price, or “print”). Recovering
from drops in autumn, last week’s price is also
-$2 less than it was one month ago. Continuing
to gain ground after severe lows, compared to
one year ago this price is up +$40 or +11%.
Compared to historical trend, last week’s WSPF 2×4 #2&Btr price
continued recent reversals to bounce last week by another +$26, or +7%,
relative to the 1-year rolling average price of US$368 mfbm, and is down
-$45, or -10%, relative to the 2-year rolling average price of US$439
mfbm. This week’s price is up +$20, or up +5% relative to the 5-year
rolling average price of US$374 mfbm.
Eastern Canadian sawmills started out last week fielding strong demand,
as the combined effects of American Thanksgiving and the CN Rail strike
forced the hands of most buyers. By midweek, demand settled down as the
strike was tentatively settled and U.S. players were absent from the
office. With the slowdown in sales activity, producers began to build
inventory at their facilities, secure in the knowledge that buyers’
depleted stocks would have them coming back sooner rather than later.
U.S. Northeast construction was the very definition of making hay while
the sun shone there last week, where hay was analogous to building
projects. Eastern stocking wholesalers reported hearty sales activity
while conducive weather was in effect, bracing themselves for the
inevitable slowdown when winter weather arrives – apparently imminent.
Vendors were just happy they could say that November has been amazing
for the tri-state building market.
The below table is a comparison of recent highs, in June 2018, and
current November 2019 benchmark dimension softwood lumber 2×4 prices
compared to historical highs of 2004/05 and compared to recent lows of
Sept 2015: 2015:
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U.S. &
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U.S. &
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U.S. &
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U.S. &
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15,
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U.S. &
Canada softwood and panel markets - week 40, 2019 ( October
8,
2019)
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U.S. &
Canada softwood and panel markets - week 39, 2019 ( October
1,
2019)
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U.S. &
Canada softwood and panel markets - week 38, 2019 ( September 24,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 37, 2019 ( September 17,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 36, 2019 ( September 10,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 35, 2019 ( September 3,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 34, 2019 ( August 23,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 33, 2019 ( August 16,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 32, 2019 ( August 09,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 31, 2019 ( August 02,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 30, 2019 ( July
26, 2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 29, 2019 ( July 19,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 28, 2019 ( July 12,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 27, 2019 ( July 03,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 26, 2019 ( June 28,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 25, 2019 ( June 21,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 24, 2019 ( June 14,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 23, 2019 ( June 07,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 22, 2019 ( May 31,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 21, 2019 ( May 24,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 20, 2019 ( May 17,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 19, 2019 ( May 10,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 18, 2019 ( May 03,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 17, 2019 ( April 26,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 16, 2019 ( April 19,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 15, 2019 ( April 12,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 14, 2019 ( April 05,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 13, 2019 ( March
29, 2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 12, 2019 ( March
22, 2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 11, 2019 ( March
15, 2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 10, 2019 ( March
08, 2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 9, 2019 ( March
01, 2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 8, 2019 ( February.
22, 2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 7, 2019 ( February.
15, 2019)
-
U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 6, 2019 ( February.
08, 2019)
-
U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 5, 2019 ( February.
01, 2019)
-
U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 4, 2019 (January. 25,
2019)
-
U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 3, 2019 (January. 18,
2019)
-
U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 2, 2019 (January. 11,
2019)
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U.S. softwood and panel markets - week 1, 2019 (January. 04,
2019)
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